Surprise Emissary Pushing Ukraine Peace Proposal Highlights Vance Impact on US Policy
The US Secretary of the Army, Dan Driscoll, was an unlikely envoy for the Trump administration newest initiative to resolve the conflict in Ukraine. His strong relationship with Vice President Vance has placed a key ally of the Eurosceptic vice-president at the center of President Trump's latest effort to settle the conflict.
Before his last week's trip to Kyiv, Driscoll was not known as a negotiator or diplomat, and his early attempts to sell the deal to European policymakers were described as turbulent.
His strong ties with Vance, with whom he attended Yale and shares a personal bond, indicate the rising influence of the non-interventionist VP in talks to end the Ukraine crisis.
Vance's Involvement in Peace Negotiations
This was Vance who stepped in during Ukraine's president's disastrous first visit to the Trump White House in March and demanded he show Trump more courtesy. Now, Ukraine is once again pushing back against pressure from the US to accept a quick settlement that local officials have called a capitulation.
After a chaotic initial year in power, international decisions in the White House are said to be shaped by a small group of Trump's key advisers, such as top aide Susie Wiles, conservative adviser Stephen Miller, envoy Steve Witkoff, State Department head Marco Rubio, and finally Vance.
Vance has been a vocal advocate of the latest plan, which was crafted by Witkoff and Trump's relative Jared Kushner, together with the Russian diplomat Kirill Dmitriev.
“Every objection of the peace framework the administration is working on either misinterprets the proposal or misrepresents some key reality on the ground,” the VP stated.
Early Efforts and European Responses
Vance's initial attempts at negotiating a ceasefire agreement with Russia, while simultaneously seeking to renew relations with Moscow, were fruitless and left his camp feeling frustrated with their Russian counterparts. Leaders in Europe, in turn, were irritated by his initial speeches, in which he charged them of running from their constituents, who Vance claimed held restrictionist and conservative positions close to those of Trump's own supporters.
However, the new peace deal closely resembled his stances, and he has been one of the most forceful spokespeople for the deal in the administration, even as the US has been criticized for accepting a peace framework that mostly resembles Vladimir Putin's maximalist demands.
In social media updates this weekend, Vance argued that a ceasefire agreement would have to produce a ceasefire that honored Ukrainian sovereignty, be agreeable to both sides, and stop the war from resuming.
“A ceasefire will not be made by unsuccessful diplomats or officials residing in a dream world,” he continued. “An agreement could be made by smart people living in the real world.”
It was Vance who continued on the introduction of the ceasefire proposal in a phone call with Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Trump had primarily tasked his staff with securing a signature on the peace deal prior to Thanksgiving this Thursday in the United States.
The Secretary of State's Response and Private Doubts
That was a notably more enthusiastic endorsement of the proposal than that expressed by the top diplomat and national security adviser, Marco Rubio, a more traditional hardliner in the administration who has transitioned from a shaky position inside the administration to more stable standing.
Rubio was part of a US team that went to Geneva this weekend to confer with Ukrainian officials to help refine the original 28-point peace plan in order to make it more acceptable to leaders in Kyiv.
However, his first reaction to the deal was tepid:
“Stopping a complex and violent war such as the one in Ukraine demands an extensive discussion of serious and realistic proposals,” Rubio wrote recently. “And, achieving a lasting peace will necessitate each party to consent to difficult but necessary compromises. That is why we are and will persist to develop a set of potential solutions for ending this war based on feedback from each party of this conflict.”
Behind closed doors, he was said to be much more doubtful of the plan. The Republican senator Mike Rounds said recently at the Halifax International Security Forum in Nova Scotia that Rubio had contacted legislators to clarify that the deal was merely a preliminary proposal from the Russians and not an initiative pushed by the White House.
“The Secretary did make a phone call to us this afternoon and I believe he made it very clear to us that we are the receivers of a offer that was delivered to one of our representatives,” said Rounds. “It is not our suggestion, it is not our ceasefire proposal.”
Rubio moved quickly to align himself. “This ceasefire plan was written by the US,” he subsequently stated. “The framework is offered as a solid structure for ongoing negotiations. The proposal is derived from feedback from the Moscow. But, it is additionally informed by previous and ongoing contributions from Ukraine.”